Strategic Use of 90-Day Pauses in Trump's Policy Playbook
Trump has historically employed 90-day pauses as a tactical measure to exert pressure, reassess situations, and negotiate from a position of strength. This approach was evident in his early presidency with Executive Order 13780, which imposed a 90-day suspension on entry to the U.S. by nationals of certain countries, aiming to enhance vetting procedures and protect national security. Wikipedia
In the context of trade, the recent 90-day tariff pause aligns with this pattern. By announcing a temporary halt, Trump signaled a willingness to negotiate while maintaining leverage, particularly against nations that had not retaliated against U.S. tariffs. This move was framed by the administration as a strategic decision to foster fair global trade arrangements. Business Insider
Internal Deliberations and Market Considerations
The decision to pause tariffs was influenced by internal discussions within the administration and reactions from financial markets. Key figures such as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and economic adviser Kevin Hassett advocated for the pause, citing concerns over market volatility and the potential for economic disruption. The administration's responsiveness to these factors suggests a strategic recalibration rather than a capitulation. Latest news & breaking headlines+1Business Insider
Moreover, Trump's use of the "madman theory"—a strategy involving unpredictable and seemingly irrational actions to keep opponents off-balance—has been a hallmark of his policy approach. This theory has been applied across various domains, including trade, to create uncertainty and extract concessions from other nations. New York Magazine
Conclusion
While some view the 90-day tariff pause as a sign of retreat, it is consistent with Trump's established strategy of using temporary suspensions to reassess and renegotiate terms. This approach allows for flexibility and the opportunity to secure more favorable outcomes, aligning with his broader tactics in both foreign and domestic policy arenas.
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